Research Prototype

SciFi Prediction Benchmark

A benchmark of technological foresight in science fiction, tracing how fictional devices, infrastructures, and social systems line up with later real-world technologies.

Open Local Annotation Workspace
What is measured Specificity, lead time, functional fit, mechanism, and societal role
Idea

Turn passages into structured predictions

Each entry is represented as a prediction with a domain, description, implied mechanism, social role, and an initial specificity estimate.

Estimation

Compare fiction against candidate technologies

The benchmark combines semantic similarity with rule-based domain and phrase overlap to rank plausible real-world counterparts.

Scoring

Reward accuracy, detail, and anticipation

Final scores blend existence, functional, mechanistic, and societal alignment, then adjust for specificity, novelty, lead time, vagueness, and redundancy.

Leaderboard

Average adjusted prediction score by author

Author Profile

Drill into domains, subscores, and matched technologies

Select an author from the leaderboard.

Prediction Explorer

Inspect individual prediction-to-technology comparisons

Select a prediction to view the top candidate match and subscore breakdown.